5
English Painter
6yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#16
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 31/05/2025 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |