16

I'm A Gambler

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Woodbine 16/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 108 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 108 par16/08C1OR 108C1 @ Woodbine 13/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 109 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 109 parC6 @ Woodbine 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 115 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 115 par18/10C6OR 115C6 @ Woodbine 02/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 110 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 110 parC6 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 111 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 111 par15/11C6OR 111C8 @ Aqueduct 22/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 108 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 108 parC5 @ Turfway Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 102 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 102 par8/03C5OR 102C6 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 96 par18/07C5OR 96projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?2nd0th+2
2026-04-18Aqueduct?5th4th+1
2026-03-08Turfway Park?6th4th+2
2026-01-22Aqueduct?5th6th1
2025-11-15Woodbine?5th4th+1
2025-11-02Woodbine?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/082/118/0318/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 17
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength75%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20253rd9/276%67%-0.10
13/09/20255th6/168%33%-0.35
18/10/20254th13/266%57%-0.09
02/11/20254th15/890%50%-0.40
15/11/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
22/01/20265th7/282%0%-0.82
08/03/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
18/04/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
18/07/20262nd6/168%67%-0.02