J D Factor
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 99
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/5 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |