Rigel
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 103
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Meadowlands | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 88% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |