Sam Stormy
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 105
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |