Smuggler's Gold
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Meadowlands | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 01/08/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |