3

Street Rockin

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 89

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 17/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 87 par17/01C8OR 87C8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 31/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 85 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 121 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 86 par21/02C8OR 86C5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Aqueduct 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 92 par19/04C5OR 92C5 @ Penn National 06/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 95 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 84 par11/06C7OR 84C5 @ Delaware Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 82 par19/07C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 14th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Colonial Downs?8th8th0
2026-06-20Delaware Park?3rd1st+2
2026-06-11Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-05-06Penn National?6th4th+2
2026-04-19Aqueduct?5th3rd+2
2026-03-22Sam Houston Race Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0122/0311/0619/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
31/01/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
21/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
22/03/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
19/04/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
06/05/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
11/06/20264th12/137%25%-0.12
20/06/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
19/07/20268th40/10%22%+0.22