15
Sunday Spirit
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2024-05-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2024-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 17
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2023 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 09/02/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 07/03/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 17/03/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 05/05/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/06/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |