12

Tallahatchiebridge

7yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 84

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#15

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Penn National 14/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 87 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 87 par14/08C8OR 87C8 @ Penn National 20/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 125 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Penn National 06/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m 120 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 84 par6/03C8OR 84C8 @ Penn National 26/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Penn National 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 76 par10/04C8OR 76C8 @ Penn National 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Penn National 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 78 par2/05C8OR 78C8 @ Penn National 17/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Penn National 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 79 par22/07C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Penn National?2nd3rd1
2026-06-17Penn National?6th7th1
2026-05-02Penn National?5th6th1
2026-04-23Penn National?3rd4th1
2026-04-10Penn National?2nd3rd1
2026-03-26Penn National?6th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0826/032/0522/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 17
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength34%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20253rd5/287%33%-0.54
20/12/20252nd5/174%80%+0.06
06/03/20265th13/266%20%-0.46
26/03/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
10/04/20262nd6/594%86%-0.08
23/04/20263rd10/1195%50%-0.45
02/05/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
17/06/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
22/07/20262nd20/10%89%+0.89