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Caprichosainfront

4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 31/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 71 · 7f 121 · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 71 par31/08C6OR 71C9 @ Gulfstream 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 74 · 5f Fas 121 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 74 parC6 @ Charles Town 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 76 · 7f Fas 126 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 76 par6/02C6OR 76C9 @ Laurel Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f 126 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Charles Town 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 1m110y Gd 126 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 65 par13/03C6OR 65C5 @ Charles Town 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f Fas 126 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 68 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 68 par23/05C7OR 68C7 @ Delaware Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fm 122 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 70 parC7 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m 122 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 71 par25/06C7OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Delaware Park?3rd5th−2
2026-06-06Delaware Park?2nd4th−2
2026-05-23Delaware Park?3rd5th−2
2026-04-04Charles Town?8th8th0
2026-03-13Charles Town?1st2nd−1
2026-02-13Laurel Park?5th9th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0813/0223/0525/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength82%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20258th10/147%22%-0.25
26/10/20252nd3/184%86%+0.02
06/02/20264th15/890%67%-0.23
13/02/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
13/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
04/04/20268th7/282%13%-0.69
23/05/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29
06/06/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
25/06/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01