Hola Gata
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 90
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 03/05/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |