12
Moon Cache
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |