2
My Ronda
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 82
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-12-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 10/11/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 12/12/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |