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Racey Ruby

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength9%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Monmouth Park 01/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 32 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark01/09/2024 · OR 32 par1/09C9OR 32C7 @ Delaware Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 83 · 1m70y Fm 122 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 83 par26/07C7OR 83C5 @ Penn National 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 75 par29/05C5OR 75C5 @ Penn National 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 80 par19/06C5OR 80projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Penn National?1st1st0
2026-05-29Penn National?3rd2nd+1
2025-07-26Delaware Park?2nd4th−2
2024-09-01Monmouth Park?2nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0926/0729/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20242nd3/184%80%-0.04
26/07/20252nd16/116%86%+0.70
29/05/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
19/06/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05