IvyArcIvyArc
10

Violet's Charm

3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 82

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 15/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m 11815/10C6C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 48 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 10/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 57 par10/12C9OR 57C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m39y Fas 119 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 64 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 65 par1/02C9OR 65C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 59 · 1m39y 119 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 59 parC7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 64 · 1m70y 117 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 64 par23/05C7OR 64C7 @ Delaware Park 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 65 · 1m110y 119 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 1m 119 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 74 par21/07C7OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-06-17Delaware Park?3rd5th−2
2026-05-23Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-02-11Tampa Bay Downs?1st5th−4
2026-02-01Tampa Bay Downs?9th13th−4
2026-01-11Tampa Bay Downs?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1011/0123/0521/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength78%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20257th33/10%33%+0.33
22/11/20259th20/10%11%+0.11
10/12/20252nd40/10%83%+0.83
11/01/20268th33/10%0%0.00
01/02/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
11/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
23/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
17/06/20263rd10/382%50%-0.32
21/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09