7

Weekend Wife

5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 83

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Laurel Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f 126 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 68 par12/12C7OR 68C8 @ Laurel Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 64 · 7f 126 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 64 parC8 @ Laurel Park 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 63 · 1m 126 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 63 par30/01C8OR 63C5 @ Laurel Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m 123 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 67 parC5 @ Laurel Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 72 · 1m110y 123 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 72 par22/03C5OR 72C5 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Laurel Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 74 · 1m110y 126 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/05C8OR 74C7 @ Laurel Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 74 parC7 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 1m 124 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 77 par24/07C7OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Delaware Park?3rd5th2
2026-06-20Laurel Park?1st3rd2
2026-05-23Laurel Park?1st4th3
2026-04-18Laurel Park?4th4th0
2026-03-22Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-21Laurel Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1221/0223/0524/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20255th5/287%43%-0.44
28/12/20254th10/147%63%+0.15
30/01/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
21/02/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
22/03/20262nd5/174%75%+0.01
18/04/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
23/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
20/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
24/07/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23