7

Weekend Wife
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |