11

Zippy Do Da Day

6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 65

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Delaware Park 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 58 par21/06C9OR 58C9 @ Penn National 09/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 53 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark09/07/2025 · OR 53 parC9 @ Penn National 25/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 54 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 54 par25/07C9OR 54C9 @ Delaware Park 15/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 56 parC9 @ Penn National 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 55 · 5f Fas 125 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 55 par10/09C9OR 55C8 @ Delaware Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 56 parC8 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 55 · 6f 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 55 par10/06C8OR 55C8 @ Delaware Park 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 55 parC7 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 54 · 5f Gd 123 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 54 par21/07C7OR 54projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Delaware Park?7th9th2
2026-06-24Delaware Park?2nd5th3
2026-06-10Delaware Park?5th8th3
2026-05-16Delaware Park?4th7th3
2025-09-10Penn National?1st5th4
2025-08-15Delaware Park?5th9th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0615/0810/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20253rd2/189%75%-0.14
09/07/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
25/07/20252nd9/488%75%-0.13
15/08/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
10/09/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
16/05/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
10/06/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
24/06/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
21/07/20267th40/10%25%+0.25