11

Zippy Do Da Day
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-10 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 25/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 15/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |