4

Tiz Tapping

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 83

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Blue Hen Stakes · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 5f Fas 1175/07C6C6 @ Monmouth Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 5f Fas 117 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 82 par26/07C6OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Monmouth Park?1st3rd2
2026-07-05Monmouth Park?2nd4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0726/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20262nd6/168%67%-0.02
26/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18