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5

Discreet Devil

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 78 par11/09C7OR 78C5 @ Delaware Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 83 parC7 @ Charles Town 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 80 · 4f110y 122 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 80 par22/10C7OR 80C7 @ Charles Town 24/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 4f110y Fas 122 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Delaware Park 13/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 77 par13/05C7OR 77C8 @ Delaware Park 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 72 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Delaware Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 73 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 73 par30/05C7OR 73C5 @ Delaware Park 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 72 · 5f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 5f110y Fm 121 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 74 par27/06C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Monmouth Park?6th8th−2
2026-06-17Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-05-30Delaware Park?6th7th−1
2026-05-21Delaware Park?7th9th−2
2026-05-13Delaware Park?8th9th−1
2026-01-24Charles Town?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0924/0130/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
04/10/20257th14/126%0%-0.26
22/10/20254th16/116%25%+0.09
24/01/20267th30/10%0%0.00
13/05/20268th50/10%0%0.00
21/05/20267th40/10%0%0.00
30/05/20266th33/10%0%0.00
17/06/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
27/06/20266th13/266%0%-0.66