2
Doctor Jeff
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2024 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 29/01/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/02/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 29/03/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |