3
Normandy Hero
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 99
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 10/05/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |