4
Radical Right
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |