9

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6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 106
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 30/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/11 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |