10
Cojelo Pa Ti
4yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |