Dither
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 04/01/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 18/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 09/02/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/03/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 23/03/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 25/04/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |