8
Float On
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |