Old Town Road
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |