1
Prom Knight
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 66
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |