3

Seven's Eleven

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 10/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 93 · 6f Slo 123 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 93 par10/01C8OR 93C8 @ Laurel Park 05/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f 123 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Laurel Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 91 par20/02C8OR 91C7 @ Laurel Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 92 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Laurel Park 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 88 · 1m 123 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 88 par4/04C8OR 88C7 @ Laurel Park 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 85 · 7f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 83 par7/06C8OR 83C8 @ Laurel Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 85 · 6f Slo 123 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Delaware Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 85 par18/07C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-06-28Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-06-07Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-03Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2026-04-04Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-03-22Laurel Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0122/037/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20264th11/1094%70%-0.24
05/02/20262nd6/594%80%-0.14
20/02/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
22/03/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
04/04/20262nd1/195%75%-0.20
03/05/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
07/06/20263rd7/491%50%-0.41
28/06/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
18/07/20267th7/282%0%-0.82