This Run's For You
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Meadowlands | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2024-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2024 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 01/06/2024 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 21/07/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 30/08/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/09/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |