8
Jinxzi
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 76
Ellis Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |