6
Raising Kane
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 90
Ellis Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 28/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |