6
Cause Ima Boss
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 54
Ellis Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |