4
Watashi
3yo Gelding · 8-7
Ellis Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |