Windtalker
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59
Ellis Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2024-12-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/12/2024 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 29/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/03/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |