1
Fortunistic
2yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 69
Ellis Park · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |