2
Kingsolver
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 91
Ellis Park · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2025-10-24 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |