8

Lady Of Sky

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 78

Ellis Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Santa Anita 07/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fas 121 · below its mark07/06/2025 · OR 85 par7/06C8OR 85C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 22/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark22/06/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 81 par4/07C8OR 81C8 @ Del Mar 31/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Del Mar 08/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 81 par8/09C6OR 81C7 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 21/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 76 parC8 @ Del Mar 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 83 par2/11C8OR 83C8 @ Fair Grounds 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 1m Slo 118 · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 74 parC5 @ Fair Grounds 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 86 par26/12C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-26Fair Grounds?3rd1st+2
2025-12-07Fair Grounds?1st2nd1
2025-11-02Del Mar?7th8th1
2025-09-21Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd3rd0
2025-09-08Del Mar?11th10th+1
2025-07-31Del Mar?11th12th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0631/072/1126/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20256th7/163%0%-0.63
22/06/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
04/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
31/07/202511th15/261%9%-0.51
08/09/202511th20/10%9%+0.09
21/09/20253rd9/488%67%-0.21
02/11/20257th12/137%0%-0.37
07/12/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
26/12/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28