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Clark's Corner
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 94
Ellis Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |