IvyArcIvyArc
6

Grand Premiere

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 101

Ellis Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 1317/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m Std 13410/04C8C6 @ Churchill Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Fm 1186/06C6projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Churchill Downs?7th7th0
2026-04-10Dundalk?2nd4th−2
2025-11-07Dundalk?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1110/046/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20252nd7/282%92%+0.10
10/04/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
06/06/20267th7/282%45%-0.36