5

Stormin The Beach

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87

Ellis Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 30/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 11930/11C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-11-30Churchill Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/20246th50/10%50%+0.50