7

Annabelle's Asset

4yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 78

Emerald Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

38%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Emerald Downs 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 12514/06C6C6 @ Emerald Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 6f 125 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 81 par5/07C6OR 81C6 @ Emerald Downs 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f 125 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 81 par26/07C6OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Emerald Downs?5th5th0
2026-07-05Emerald Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-14Emerald Downs?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/065/0726/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
05/07/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
26/07/20265th7/163%64%+0.00