1
Vino Viking
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 78
Emerald Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Emerald Downs | BHA66 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Emerald Downs | BHA59 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Emerald Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |