2

My Eliana
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 55
Emerald Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |