5
Smoothie Ryder
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 52
Emerald Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Turf Paradise | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |