4
Sweet Shoppe
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 60
Emerald Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |