3
Real Good Magic
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 87
Emerald Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Emerald Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turf Paradise | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 09/04/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |