4
Slew Skies
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 74
Emerald Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Emerald Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Emerald Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Turf Paradise | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |