There Goes My Hero
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87
Emerald Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Emerald Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Hastings Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-14 | Hastings Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-09-30 | Hastings Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 16/09/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/09/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/10/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |