Time Ticker
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 81
Emerald Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Hastings Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Hastings Racecourse | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 06/10/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |